Appalachian State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
694  Evan Georges JR 33:12
886  Ian Foley SO 33:29
1,048  Gable Dershem FR 33:41
1,267  Michael Flanagan FR 34:01
1,292  Colin Loy JR 34:03
1,749  Jake Toczko SO 34:42
1,755  Ryan Shannon SR 34:42
1,775  Luke Bennett FR 34:44
1,901  Ben Cignarale FR 34:56
2,032  Zachary Mercer FR 35:11
2,238  Lawson Benfield SO 35:38
2,503  Cade Zimmerman SR 36:25
National Rank #165 of 315
Southeast Region Rank #23 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 72.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Evan Georges Ian Foley Gable Dershem Michael Flanagan Colin Loy Jake Toczko Ryan Shannon Luke Bennett Ben Cignarale Zachary Mercer Lawson Benfield
Upstate Invitational 09/30 1163 33:15 33:40 33:41 33:30 34:47 36:00 35:24 35:04
High Point Vertcross 10/13 1154 33:00 33:27 33:41 34:12 34:41 35:06 34:38 34:40 35:03 36:16
Sun Belt Championship 10/28 1068 32:42 33:24 32:49 33:40 33:40 35:09 35:10
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 1218 33:21 34:45 35:17 34:58 34:27 34:16





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 19.1 574 0.4 1.1 4.0 6.3 10.6 14.6 18.6 17.0 14.3 9.2 4.1 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Evan Georges 83.1
Ian Foley 100.7
Gable Dershem 111.9
Michael Flanagan 130.3
Colin Loy 134.2
Jake Toczko 169.2
Ryan Shannon 169.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 0.4% 0.4 13
14 1.1% 1.1 14
15 4.0% 4.0 15
16 6.3% 6.3 16
17 10.6% 10.6 17
18 14.6% 14.6 18
19 18.6% 18.6 19
20 17.0% 17.0 20
21 14.3% 14.3 21
22 9.2% 9.2 22
23 4.1% 4.1 23
24 0.2% 0.2 24
25 0.1% 0.1 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0